Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hellas Verona v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
0-3
HT 0-2
Fiorentina
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Fiorentina
İTA
Hellas Verona 2-1 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Hellas Verona squeezed past Fiorentina 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hellas Verona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hellas Verona had 38% of the ball to Fiorentina's 62%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.89 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.67 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina?
Hellas Verona 2-1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 34%, draw 29%, Fiorentina 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.