Spezia 2-1 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.56
X/2
11%
8.25
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
11%
6.26
2/X
7%
14.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.47/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.74
-13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.3 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pescara
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
448 Passes 333
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2020 Spezia Spezia 2-0 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
19.10.2019 Pescara Pescara 1-2 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
03.03.2019 Pescara Pescara 2-0 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
19.10.2018 Spezia Spezia 1-3 HT 1-2 Pescara Pescara İTB
22.04.2018 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 2-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
25.11.2017 Spezia Spezia 4-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
2-1
AWAY Pescara
1.62 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
178 Passes 224
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spezia vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spezia nicked a narrow win over Pescara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Spezia had 48% of the ball to Pescara's 52%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.62 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Spezia and 1.50 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Spezia vs Pescara?

Spezia 2-1 Pescara in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spezia vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spezia 50%, draw 22%, Pescara 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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