Venezia 1-0 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Dec 2025

Venezia
1-0 HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Venezia vs Virtus Entella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.49
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.91
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.3
X/1
20%
3.84
X/2
5%
12.45
X/X
7%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
4%
11.15
2/X
4%
19.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
63%
+4.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Virtus Entella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.86/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.97
+28% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.8 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Venezia vs Virtus Entella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.88 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
334 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.02.2021 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-2 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
14.11.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-2 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
15.02.2020 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
24.09.2019 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-2 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
17.04.2018 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
18.11.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB

Venezia 1-0 Virtus Entella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
1-0
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.39 xG 0.64
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
421 Passes 159
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia edged past Virtus Entella 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Venezia had 66% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 34%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Venezia and 0.67 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Virtus Entella?

Venezia 1-0 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Venezia 67%, draw 19%, Virtus Entella 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
27 Dec 2025
14:30 Spezia vs Pescara Analysis →
17:00 Catanzaro vs Cesena Analysis →
17:00 Sampdoria vs Reggiana Analysis →
17:00 Empoli vs Frosinone Analysis →
17:00 Juve Stabia vs Südtirol Analysis →
17:00 Carrarese vs Mantova Analysis →