Juve Stabia 1-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.13
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.67
X/2
10%
7.08
X/X
15%
3.64
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
15%
5.95
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +7%
1.55/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
+8% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.1 Crosses 19.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.92
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 150
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 2-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
06.12.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-1 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-0
AWAY Südtirol
0.77 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
258 Passes 295
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia nicked a narrow win over Südtirol 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 45% of the ball to Südtirol's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.77 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.50 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Südtirol?

Juve Stabia 1-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 41%, draw 28%, Südtirol 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✓ Under 2.5
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