Sampdoria 2-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.55
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
11%
8.47
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
6%
7.25
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.40
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.3 Crosses 15.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
24.08.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
05.05.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
16.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
2-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.07 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 178
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria squeezed past Reggiana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sampdoria as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sampdoria had 55% of the ball to Reggiana's 45%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.07 to 1.60 — on chances, Reggiana could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sampdoria and 1.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Reggiana?

Sampdoria 2-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 53%, draw 26%, Reggiana 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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