Reggiana 2-2 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
5.09
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.09
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
17%
5.6
X/2
15%
5.73
X/X
16%
3.47
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.26
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.42
-25% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.8 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
05.05.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
16.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-2
AWAY Sampdoria
2.51 xG 1.71
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
217 Passes 385
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Sampdoria couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 38% of the ball to Sampdoria's 62%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.51 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Reggiana and 1.00 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Sampdoria?

Reggiana 2-2 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 38%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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