Sampdoria 0-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.95
X/1
19%
3.72
X/2
12%
9.65
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
12%
8.33
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.65/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.23
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
22.3 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.94 xG 0.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
318 Passes 327
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.05.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
16.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
0-1
AWAY Reggiana
0.43 xG 1.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana squeezed past Sampdoria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sampdoria had 55% of the ball to Reggiana's 45%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.43 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sampdoria and 0.50 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Reggiana?

Sampdoria 0-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 43%, draw 28%, Reggiana 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sampdoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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