Spezia vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Frosinone
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Spezia
İTB
2-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Frosinone
İTB
1-1
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
1-1
HT 0-0
Frosinone
İTB
Spezia 2-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia nicked a narrow win over Frosinone 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Spezia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spezia had 52% of the ball to Frosinone's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.64 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spezia's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spezia and 0.83 for Frosinone.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Frosinone?
Spezia 2-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Frosinone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spezia 40%, draw 29%, Frosinone 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.