Sassuolo 2-1 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Aug 2024

Sassuolo
2-1 HT 1-0
Cesena
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Sassuolo vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 29% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.52
X/2
10%
6.66
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.1
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sassuolo v Cesena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.26
-4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sassuolo vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cesena
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
347 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.01.2017 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTK
10.05.2015 Cesena Cesena 2-3 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
20.12.2014 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTA
30.12.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
27.08.2012 Cesena Cesena 0-3 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
16.03.2010 Cesena Cesena 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB

Sassuolo 2-1 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-1
AWAY Cesena
1.95 xG 1.72
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
276 Passes 507
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo edged past Cesena 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo had 37% of the ball to Cesena's 63%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 1.95 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sassuolo and 0.83 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cesena?

Sassuolo 2-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 41%, draw 33%, Cesena 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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