Cremonese 1-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
16%
3.89
X/2
10%
10.2
X/X
15%
4.64
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
7%
8.36
2/X
5%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.70/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
06.04.2014 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-0
AWAY Carrarese
1.54 xG 1.04
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
452 Passes 247
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese edged past Carrarese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cremonese had 63% of the ball to Carrarese's 37%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.54 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Carrarese?

Cremonese 1-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 51%, draw 26%, Carrarese 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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