Brescia 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.46
X/2
8%
6.66
X/X
12%
3.94
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
5.36
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.32/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.24
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.2 Crosses 23.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 249
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Brescia Brescia 2-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
04.11.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 3-2 HT 2-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
01.03.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
08.10.2022 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
30.04.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
19.12.2021 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
1.36 xG 0.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 227
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
44 Box Touches 20
38 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella edged past Brescia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cittadella found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brescia had 60% of the ball to Cittadella's 40%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.36 to 0.61 — on chances, Brescia could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brescia and 1.00 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Cittadella?

Brescia 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brescia 38%, draw 31%, Cittadella 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brescia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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