Brescia 2-0 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Feb 2024

Brescia
2-0 HT 0-0
Cittadella
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Brescia vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.14
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
13%
5.81
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.95
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
8%
6.02
X/2
20%
4.75
X/X
15%
3.38
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.54
2/X
11%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brescia v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.21/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.05
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.4 Crosses 24.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Brescia vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cittadella
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 247
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 3-2 HT 2-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
01.03.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
08.10.2022 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
30.04.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
19.12.2021 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
13.05.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB

Brescia 2-0 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
2-0
AWAY Cittadella
1.90 xG 0.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
188 Passes 270
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia got the better of Cittadella 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Brescia had 43% of the ball to Cittadella's 57%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.90 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brescia and 1.17 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Cittadella?

Brescia 2-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brescia 29%, draw 30%, Cittadella 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cittadella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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