Parma 2-1 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Feb 2024

Parma
2-1 HT 1-1
Venezia
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Parma vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.45
X/2
14%
7.1
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.33
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.46/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.29
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.2 Crosses 20.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Parma vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Venezia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.41 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 379
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
19.05.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
26.12.2022 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTB
23.02.2018 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
23.09.2017 Venezia Venezia 0-1 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
05.05.2002 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTA

Parma 2-1 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
2-1
AWAY Venezia
1.53 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
347 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parma vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma nicked a narrow win over Venezia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Parma found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parma had 48% of the ball to Venezia's 52%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.53 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Parma and 1.33 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Parma vs Venezia?

Parma 2-1 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parma 40%, draw 29%, Venezia 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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