Sampdoria 2-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
11%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.99
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.43
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
12%
3.86
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
10%
5.48
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.69/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.59
-19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.8 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Modena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 0.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
283 Passes 367
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2023 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
01.05.2012 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
26.11.2011 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
25.04.2004 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
21.12.2003 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTA
25.11.2001 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
2-2
AWAY Modena
0.69 xG 2.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
290 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria and Modena couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sampdoria had 48% of the ball to Modena's 52%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.69 to 2.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sampdoria and 0.67 for Modena.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Modena?

Sampdoria 2-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 42%, draw 28%, Modena 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5
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