Sampdoria 1-0 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 May 2024

Sampdoria
1-0 HT 1-0
Reggiana
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Sampdoria vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.2
X/2
8%
8.41
X/X
10%
4.24
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
16%
6.72
2/X
7%
14.45
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.72 — our 16% vs market 10.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sampdoria v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.81/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.27
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.3 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sampdoria vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
312 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB

Sampdoria 1-0 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-0
AWAY Reggiana
0.55 xG 0.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
325 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria edged past Reggiana 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sampdoria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sampdoria had 50% of the ball to Reggiana's 50%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.55 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Reggiana?

Sampdoria 1-0 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 46%, draw 24%, Reggiana 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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