Modena 0-0 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 May 2024

Modena
0-0 HT 0-0
Como
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.45
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
14%
7.13
X/2
14%
4.58
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.91
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.86/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.27
+60% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
11.7 Crosses 17.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Como
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Como Como 2-1 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
05.03.2023 Como Como 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
15.10.2022 Modena Modena 5-1 HT 3-0 Como Como İTB
19.03.2016 Modena Modena 1-2 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
31.10.2015 Como Como 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
27.04.2003 Como Como 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
0-0
AWAY Como
0.69 xG 0.47
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
155 Passes 575
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Modena vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Como played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Como at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Modena had 26% of the ball to Como's 74%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.69 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Como led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Modena and 1.17 for Como.

What was the final score of Modena vs Como?

Modena 0-0 Como in the Italy - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Modena 29%, draw 29%, Como 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Como) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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