Parma 1-1 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 May 2024

Parma
1-1 HT 0-1
Cremonese
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Parma vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.71
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
16%
4.9
X/2
13%
7.31
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
2/2
14%
4.74
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.46/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
21.8 Crosses 21.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Parma vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Cremonese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.17 xG 1.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
399 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 1-2 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
15.02.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 3-1 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTB
19.09.2021 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 0-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
20.01.2018 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
25.08.2017 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB

Parma 1-1 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
1-1
AWAY Cremonese
1.47 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 2
366 Passes 361
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Parma vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma and Cremonese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Parma had 50% of the ball to Cremonese's 50%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.47 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Parma and 1.40 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Parma vs Cremonese?

Parma 1-1 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parma 41%, draw 26%, Cremonese 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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