Cittadella 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.14
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.66
X/2
17%
5.17
X/X
15%
4.08
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
11%
3.65
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.20/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.05
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.3 Crosses 14.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
0W-4D-2L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
353 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
01.05.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
08.12.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
03.06.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 2-2 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
17.03.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
20.10.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 4-2 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.06 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and FC Bari 1908 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cittadella had 48% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.06 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cittadella and 1.83 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs FC Bari 1908?

Cittadella 1-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 38%, draw 29%, FC Bari 1908 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cittadella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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