Palermo vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palermo v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTB
1-2
HT 0-1
Palermo
İTB
2-3
HT 1-2
Ascoli
İTB
1-2
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTB
3-0
HT 1-0
Ascoli
İTB
4-1
HT 0-1
Ascoli
İTB
Palermo 2-2 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo and Ascoli shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Palermo had 37% of the ball to Ascoli's 63%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.44 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Palermo and 1.00 for Ascoli.
What was the final score of Palermo vs Ascoli?
Palermo 2-2 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palermo vs Ascoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Palermo 41%, draw 26%, Ascoli 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.