Catanzaro 4-0 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
11%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
20%
4.61
X/2
6%
7.47
X/X
11%
4.03
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.99
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.36/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.38
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.9 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.37 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
03.03.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
26.11.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
04.10.2015 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
15.02.2015 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
4-0
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.33 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
423 Passes 314
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro ran out comfortable winners over Cosenza Calcio 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Catanzaro as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 55% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 45%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.33 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Catanzaro and 0.40 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Cosenza Calcio?

Catanzaro 4-0 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 49%, draw 27%, Cosenza Calcio 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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