Cosenza Calcio 0-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
8%
4.86
X/2
11%
6.11
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.64
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.61/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.51
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
25.9 Crosses 12.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 18
38 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
04.10.2015 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
15.02.2015 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0-2
AWAY Catanzaro
1.16 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
323 Passes 407
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro beat Cosenza Calcio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Catanzaro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 46% of the ball to Catanzaro's 54%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.16 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.33 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Catanzaro?

Cosenza Calcio 0-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 40%, draw 31%, Catanzaro 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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