FC Bari 1908 1-1 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Mar 2024

FC Bari 1908
1-1 HT 0-0
Spezia
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.4
X/1
8%
4.36
X/2
12%
6.66
X/X
16%
3.8
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
8%
5.54
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Bari 1908 v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.23/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.61
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.7 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Spezia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.54 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
273 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
13.03.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
30.09.2017 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
08.04.2017 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
13.11.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
15.01.2016 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Spezia
0.47 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
387 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Spezia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 35% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 56% of the ball to Spezia's 44%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.47 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Spezia.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 40%, draw 35%, Spezia 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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