FeralpiSalo 1-3 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
14%
5.09
X/2
17%
5.73
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
9%
4.31
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 36%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.01/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.25
+27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.7 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.01 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
259 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-3 HT 1-2 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-3
AWAY Sampdoria
1.05 xG 1.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
355 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria saw off FeralpiSalo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sampdoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 52% of the ball to Sampdoria's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.05 to 1.61.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Sampdoria?

FeralpiSalo 1-3 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 37%, draw 30%, Sampdoria 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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