Como 2-1 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Mar 2024

Como
2-1 HT 1-1
Venezia
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
16%
4.92
X/2
16%
6.34
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.6
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.2 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Venezia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 2.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-0 HT 2-0 Como Como İTB
01.04.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB
06.11.2022 Como Como 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
07.02.2015 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Como Como İTC
01.05.2004 Venezia Venezia 3-1 HT 3-0 Como Como İTB
30.11.2003 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
2-1
AWAY Venezia
0.44 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como edged past Venezia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Como found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como had 46% of the ball to Venezia's 54%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.44 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Como and 1.67 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Como vs Venezia?

Como 2-1 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Como 37%, draw 29%, Venezia 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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