Cittadella 0-1 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.5
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
16%
4.98
X/2
13%
6.4
X/X
14%
3.62
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
10%
4.9
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.7 Crosses 21.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Pisa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
267 Passes 247
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Pisa Pisa 2-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
14.01.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-2 HT 0-2 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
13.08.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 4-3 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
20.03.2022 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
07.11.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 2-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
12.03.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 2-0 HT 2-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-1
AWAY Pisa
0.23 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
219 Passes 356
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa edged past Cittadella 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Pisa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 41% of the ball to Pisa's 59%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.23 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cittadella and 1.17 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Pisa?

Cittadella 0-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 39%, draw 32%, Pisa 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cittadella), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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