Ascoli 0-0 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.41
Over 2.5
48%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
6.76
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.41
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.6
X/2
12%
6.57
X/X
15%
3.12
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.66
2/X
9%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
67%
-14.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
33%
+14.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.24
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.1 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.52 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 375
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
25.11.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
14.02.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
20.10.2020 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
22.03.2015 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
09.11.2014 Reggiana Reggiana 0-2 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-0
AWAY Reggiana
0.75 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
196 Passes 231
61% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli and Reggiana played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ascoli had 47% of the ball to Reggiana's 53%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.75 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ascoli and 0.80 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Reggiana?

Ascoli 0-0 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 36%, draw 32%, Reggiana 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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