Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 34% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
10%
6.32
X/X
18%
3.86
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
10%
4.59
2/X
10%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.47
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.4 Crosses 12.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 16
36 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
26.11.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
04.10.2015 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
15.02.2015 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-1
AWAY Catanzaro
2.47 xG 1.24
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
248 Passes 452
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio and Catanzaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 38% of the ball to Catanzaro's 62%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 2.47 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.50 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Catanzaro?

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 38%, draw 35%, Catanzaro 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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