Reggiana 2-1 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.47
Draw
44%
2.66
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.38
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.92
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.6
X/1
10%
5.21
X/2
13%
6.19
X/X
29%
3.05
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.01
2/X
12%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
37%
-11.0pp
44%
Draw
34%
+10.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.11/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.88
-26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.3 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-1
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.17 xG 1.04
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
181 Passes 380
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana edged past Juve Stabia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 37% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 63%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Juve Stabia?

Reggiana 2-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 26%, draw 44%, Juve Stabia 30%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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