Brescia 3-3 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Dec 2024

Brescia
3-3 HT 1-2
Modena
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Brescia vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.17
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.12
X/2
17%
5.0
X/X
16%
3.51
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.63
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brescia v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.35/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.03
+32% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
18.9 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Brescia vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Modena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.74 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
290 Passes 330
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Modena Modena 1-2 HT 0-2 Brescia Brescia İTB
24.10.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
11.02.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
10.09.2022 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
20.02.2016 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
03.10.2015 Brescia Brescia 2-2 HT 2-1 Modena Modena İTB

Brescia 3-3 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
3-3
AWAY Modena
1.39 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 37
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia and Modena couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brescia had 44% of the ball to Modena's 56%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.39 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brescia and 1.17 for Modena.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Modena?

Brescia 3-3 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brescia 33%, draw 28%, Modena 39%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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