Modena vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v Brescia — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
1-3
HT 1-1
Brescia
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
Brescia
İTB
2-2
HT 2-1
Modena
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Modena
İTB
Modena 1-2 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics
Brescia edged past Modena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Brescia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Modena had 66% of the ball to Brescia's 34%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.03 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Modena.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Modena and 0.83 for Brescia.
What was the final score of Modena vs Brescia?
Modena 1-2 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs Brescia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Modena 38%, draw 30%, Brescia 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.