Pisa 2-2 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.46
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.86
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.19
X/2
14%
7.37
X/X
12%
3.56
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
12%
6.34
2/X
5%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.31/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.27
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.5 Crosses 14.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.02 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
30.01.2021 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.09.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-2 Pisa Pisa İTB
08.04.2015 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-2
AWAY Reggiana
1.59 xG 0.75
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
448 Passes 208
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 14
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa and Reggiana couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Pisa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pisa had 64% of the ball to Reggiana's 36%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.59 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pisa had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pisa and 0.75 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Reggiana?

Pisa 2-2 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pisa 45%, draw 24%, Reggiana 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
13 Jan 2024
16:00 Como vs Spezia Analysis →
16:00 Modena vs Brescia Analysis →
16:00 FC Bari 1908 vs Ternana Analysis →
16:00 Cittadella vs Palermo Analysis →
16:00 Südtirol vs FeralpiSalo Analysis →