Südtirol 1-0 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Jan 2024

Südtirol
1-0 HT 0-0
FeralpiSalo
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Südtirol vs FeralpiSalo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
6.23
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.67
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
13%
14.45
X/1
18%
4.76
X/2
16%
5.8
X/X
8%
3.31
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.85
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v FeralpiSalo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.13/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.62
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
18.8 Crosses 12.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Südtirol vs FeralpiSalo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 0.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
219 Passes 508
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-2 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
30.07.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-3 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTK
26.03.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
21.11.2021 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
14.02.2021 Südtirol Südtirol 0-2 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
17.10.2020 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC

Südtirol 1-0 FeralpiSalo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-0
AWAY FeralpiSalo
1.55 xG 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
259 Passes 422
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol nicked a narrow win over FeralpiSalo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Südtirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Südtirol had 41% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 59%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.55 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Südtirol and 1.17 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs FeralpiSalo?

Südtirol 1-0 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 37%, draw 28%, FeralpiSalo 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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