Cittadella 2-0 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Jan 2024

Cittadella
2-0 HT 1-0
Palermo
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cittadella vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.26
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
11%
13.0
X/1
10%
4.83
X/2
12%
6.32
X/X
11%
3.92
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.78
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cittadella v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.46
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.9 Crosses 19.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cittadella vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
253 Passes 282
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.03.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 3-3 HT 2-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
23.10.2022 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.05.2019 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 2-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
30.12.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
17.04.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Cittadella 2-0 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
2-0
AWAY Palermo
1.36 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
352 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella beat Palermo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cittadella as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 49% of the ball to Palermo's 51%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cittadella and 1.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Palermo?

Cittadella 2-0 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 42%, draw 29%, Palermo 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
13 Jan 2024
16:00 Como vs Spezia Analysis →
16:00 Modena vs Brescia Analysis →
16:00 FC Bari 1908 vs Ternana Analysis →
16:00 Südtirol vs FeralpiSalo Analysis →
18:15 Pisa vs Reggiana Analysis →