Cesena 0-1 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.68
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.09
X/2
14%
5.1
X/X
21%
3.66
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.63
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.06/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.10
-4% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
Crosses 20.1
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
18.05.2018 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
28.12.2017 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
13.02.2006 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
01.10.2005 Cremonese Cremonese 2-3 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
0-1
AWAY Cremonese
1.10 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese nicked a narrow win over Cesena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Cremonese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Cesena had 44% of the ball to Cremonese's 56%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cesena and 1.00 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Cremonese?

Cesena 0-1 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cesena 32%, draw 32%, Cremonese 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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