Frosinone 2-0 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
9%
4.83
X/2
11%
6.64
X/X
10%
3.91
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
12%
5.09
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.61/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.13
+19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.8 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 Passes 326
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 3-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
22.09.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
05.04.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.12.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
29.02.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
06.10.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
2-0
AWAY Salernitana
1.46 xG 0.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
523 Passes 227
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone got the better of Salernitana 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Frosinone had 67% of the ball to Salernitana's 33%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.46 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Frosinone and 0.50 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Salernitana?

Frosinone 2-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 44%, draw 26%, Salernitana 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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