Südtirol 2-2 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
9%
4.89
X/2
11%
7.05
X/X
13%
3.85
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.47
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.73/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.55
+28% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.2 Crosses 17.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
327 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
27.08.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 2-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
2-2
AWAY Carrarese
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
170 Passes 286
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Carrarese shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Südtirol at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 41% of the ball to Carrarese's 59%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Carrarese?

Südtirol 2-2 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 44%, draw 27%, Carrarese 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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