Carrarese 2-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.3
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
11%
5.83
X/2
15%
4.68
X/X
14%
3.37
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.64
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.5pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
2-0
AWAY Südtirol
1.43 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
326 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese beat Südtirol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Carrarese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Carrarese had 50% of the ball to Südtirol's 50%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.43 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Südtirol?

Carrarese 2-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 36%, draw 28%, Südtirol 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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