Cittadella 0-3 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.65
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
11%
7.26
X/2
14%
4.53
X/X
9%
4.0
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.88
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.78
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
22.5 Crosses 26.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pisa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 Passes 266
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
21.10.2023 Pisa Pisa 2-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
14.01.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-2 HT 0-2 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
13.08.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 4-3 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
20.03.2022 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
07.11.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 2-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-3
AWAY Pisa
0.73 xG 1.30
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
321 Passes 291
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa ran out comfortable winners over Cittadella 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.73 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cittadella and 1.33 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Pisa?

Cittadella 0-3 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 33%, draw 24%, Pisa 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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