Frosinone 1-1 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.54
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.1
X/2
12%
5.9
X/X
15%
3.97
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.36
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.63/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.40
+33% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.4 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Modena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
14.01.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
14.08.2022 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
07.03.2015 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.10.2014 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
12.03.2011 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
16.10.2010 Frosinone Frosinone 1-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
1-1
AWAY Modena
1.21 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
343 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone and Modena couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Frosinone had 49% of the ball to Modena's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.21 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Frosinone and 0.83 for Modena.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Modena?

Frosinone 1-1 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 39%, draw 27%, Modena 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frosinone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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