FC Bari 1908 1-1 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.82
6+ Goals
12%
16.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.82 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.86
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.59
X/2
14%
5.47
X/X
10%
4.3
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.75
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.29/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.51
-15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.9 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
29.11.2017 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTK
20.04.2013 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
01.12.2012 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-3 HT 2-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
12.02.2012 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
24.09.2011 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
08.03.2009 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Sassuolo
1.86 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
399 Passes 295
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 19
48 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Sassuolo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sassuolo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 58% of the ball to Sassuolo's 42%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 1.86 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.83 for Sassuolo.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Sassuolo?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 33%, draw 26%, Sassuolo 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassuolo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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