Reggiana 2-0 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.06
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.49
X/2
13%
5.39
X/X
15%
3.75
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.96
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.12/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
-24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.0 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Brescia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
382 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Brescia Brescia 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
10.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
05.04.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 0-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
19.12.2020 Brescia Brescia 3-1 HT 2-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-0
AWAY Brescia
1.18 xG 0.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
243 Passes 415
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana saw off Brescia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Reggiana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Reggiana had 39% of the ball to Brescia's 61%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.18 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brescia led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reggiana and 1.50 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Brescia?

Reggiana 2-0 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 34%, draw 29%, Brescia 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brescia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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