Cremonese 0-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
19%
4.3
X/2
10%
7.6
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.81
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.52/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.47
-8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.2 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Palermo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 2-2 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.12.2023 Palermo Palermo 3-2 HT 1-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.01.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
31.08.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
14.04.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
12.11.2017 Cremonese Cremonese 1-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
0-1
AWAY Palermo
1.23 xG 0.72
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
500 Passes 254
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo squeezed past Cremonese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cremonese had 65% of the ball to Palermo's 35%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cremonese.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cremonese and 1.67 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Palermo?

Cremonese 0-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 43%, draw 28%, Palermo 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cremonese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5
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