Cremonese 2-2 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.1
Over 2.5
42%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 31% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.0
X/1
19%
4.53
X/2
11%
8.03
X/X
10%
5.2
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
13%
5.58
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.53/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.44
-17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.5 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Palermo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.19 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
274 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Palermo Palermo 3-2 HT 1-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.01.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
31.08.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
14.04.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
12.11.2017 Cremonese Cremonese 1-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
2-2
AWAY Palermo
1.71 xG 2.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
251 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and Palermo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cremonese had 43% of the ball to Palermo's 57%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.71 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cremonese and 1.60 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Palermo?

Cremonese 2-2 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 42%, draw 27%, Palermo 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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