Südtirol 1-0 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
38%
2.7
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
6.79
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
10%
5.98
X/X
17%
3.11
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.01
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.6
Value flag · 2/X at 14.6 — our 11% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
38%
Draw
34%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.01/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
-11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.7 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.53 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 461
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
02.06.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
29.05.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
10.04.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
12.11.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 1-2 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
30.04.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-2 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-0
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.34 xG 0.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
430 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol edged past FC Bari 1908 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 38% / 28% — and on the day Südtirol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Südtirol had 59% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 41%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 1.34 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 1.17 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs FC Bari 1908?

Südtirol 1-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 34%, draw 38%, FC Bari 1908 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
24 Feb 2024
16:00 Cremonese vs Palermo Analysis →
16:00 Cittadella vs Catanzaro Analysis →
16:00 FeralpiSalo vs Ascoli Analysis →
16:00 Brescia vs Reggiana Analysis →
18:15 Ternana vs Lecco Analysis →
18:15 Como vs Parma Analysis →