Cittadella 1-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
10%
4.8
X/2
10%
6.26
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.82
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.48
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.8 Crosses 12.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.29 xG 1.24
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
213 Passes 495
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
27.09.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-2
AWAY Catanzaro
1.70 xG 0.77
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
193 Passes 457
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro nicked a narrow win over Cittadella 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cittadella had 34% of the ball to Catanzaro's 66%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.77 — on chances, Cittadella could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Catanzaro?

Cittadella 1-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 43%, draw 30%, Catanzaro 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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