FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Feb 2024

FeralpiSalo
0-1 HT 0-1
Ascoli
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

FeralpiSalo vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.8
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
12%
4.88
X/2
10%
5.81
X/X
17%
3.43
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.72
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FeralpiSalo v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.88/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.57
+96% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
12.4 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3

FeralpiSalo vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ascoli
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.30 xG 2.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
316 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
29.08.2023 Ascoli Ascoli 3-0 HT 2-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB

FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
0-1
AWAY Ascoli
1.24 xG 0.57
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
382 Passes 117
75% Pass Accuracy 44%
30 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli edged past FeralpiSalo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ascoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 66% of the ball to Ascoli's 34%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.24 to 0.57 — on chances, FeralpiSalo could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Ascoli?

FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 37%, draw 31%, Ascoli 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FeralpiSalo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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