Ternana 0-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
12%
4.69
X/2
11%
7.63
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.37
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.32/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.92
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -66%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.0 Crosses 24.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lecco
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
304 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
17.12.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-3 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
0-0
AWAY Lecco
0.32 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
322 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 24
37 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana and Lecco fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ternana had 52% of the ball to Lecco's 48%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.32 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Lecco?

Ternana 0-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ternana 42%, draw 28%, Lecco 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ternana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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