Como 1-1 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Feb 2024

Como
1-1 HT 1-1
Parma
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Como vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.61
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
11%
5.9
X/X
17%
4.06
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.18
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Como v Parma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.37/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.17
+16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
16.9 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Como vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Parma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 331
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
18.03.2023 Como Como 2-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTB
29.10.2022 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
06.04.2022 Parma Parma 4-3 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
28.11.2021 Como Como 1-1 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
09.02.2003 Como Como 2-2 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTA

Como 1-1 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1-1
AWAY Parma
0.37 xG 1.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
413 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como and Parma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Como had 60% of the ball to Parma's 40%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.37 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Como and 1.67 for Parma.

What was the final score of Como vs Parma?

Como 1-1 Parma in the Italy - Serie B on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Como 37%, draw 32%, Parma 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Como), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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