Catanzaro 2-0 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.21
6+ Goals
10%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
17%
5.33
X/2
9%
6.47
X/X
14%
3.96
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.74
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.37/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.05
+29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.6 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cesena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.92 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
394 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
01.02.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4-2 HT 3-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
28.08.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.05.2006 Cesena Cesena 4-1 HT 4-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
10.12.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-4 HT 0-2 Cesena Cesena İTB
26.03.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-0
AWAY Cesena
1.98 xG 0.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
317 Passes 436
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro got the better of Cesena 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Catanzaro made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 43% of the ball to Cesena's 57%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.98 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Catanzaro and 2.33 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Cesena?

Catanzaro 2-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 38%, draw 27%, Cesena 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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