Catanzaro vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Catanzaro v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Catanzaro vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 4-0
Catanzaro
İTB
2-4
HT 0-2
Cesena
İTB
2-2
HT 1-1
Cesena
İTB
2-1
HT 1-1
Catanzaro
İTB
Catanzaro 1-0 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Catanzaro edged past Cesena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Catanzaro as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Catanzaro had 44% of the ball to Cesena's 56%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.47 to 1.66 — on chances, Cesena could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Catanzaro and 2.67 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Cesena?
Catanzaro 1-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 41%, draw 31%, Cesena 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.